WWhhaatt ttooTTrraannssffeerr What new insights do you have about solving measures of variability of grouped data? What do you realize after learning and doing different activities? Let the learners demonstrate their understanding of the lesson about measures of central tendency and variability in real-life situations by creating a scenario that reflects Now, you can extend your understanding by doing the tasks in the next section. meaningful and relevant situations.Teacher’s Note and Reminders WWhhaatt ttooTTrraannssffeerr Demonstrate your understanding on measures of central tendency and measures of variability through products that reflect meaningful and relevant problems/situations. Create a scenario of the task in paragraph form incorporating GRASP: Goal, Role, Audience, Situation, Product/Performance, Standards. G: Make a criteria for a scholarship grant based on monthly family income and scholastic performance. R: Barangay Social Worker A: Local NGO S: An NGO in the locality will grant scholarship to qualified and deserving scholars P: Criteria S: Justification, Accuracy of data, Clarity of Presentation Don’tForget! 589
Post-Test1. Suppose your grades on three English exams are 80, 93, and 91. What grade do you need on your next exam to have an average of 90 on the four exams? a. 96 c. 94 b. 95 d. 93 Answer: A2. Fe is hosting a kiddie party in her house. six kids aged 12 and 5 babies aged 2 attended the party. Which measure of central tendency is appropriate to use to find the average age? a. Mean c. Mode b. Median d. Range Answer: C3. What is the Mode of 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 6, 7 a. 4 c. 4 and 6 b. 6 d. 5 Answer: C4. What is the average height of the two teams in feet?64 7 611 12 16Feet and 5'7\" 6' 6'4\" 6'4\" 7' inches 6' 6'1\" 6'4\" 6'4\" 6'6\" 67 72 76 76 84 inches 72 73 76 76 78 a. 6.0’ c. 6.3’ b. 6.25’ d. 6.5’ Answer: B If you were to join any of these two teams, which team would you choose? Why? 590
For items 5 – 12 refer to the data below. Choose the letter that corresponds to the best answer: Class Frequency 46 – 50 1 41 – 45 2 36 – 40 3 31 – 35 10 26 – 30 6 21 – 25 9 16 – 20 5 11 – 15 6 6 – 10 4 1–5 25. What is the class size? a. 4 c. 5 b. 3 d. 6 Answer: C6. What is the class mark of the class with the highest frequency? a. 33 c. 38 b. 43 d. 48 Answer: A7. What is the ∑fX? c. 1,160 a. 1,158 d. 1,161 b. 1,159 Answer: D 591
8. What is the modal class? c. 31-35 a. 11-15 d. 30.5-35.5 b. 10.5-15.5 Answer: C9. What is the value of the median score? a. 24.10 c. 24.15 b. 24.29 d. 24.39 Answer: D10. What is the range of the given set of data? a. 50 c. 49.5 b. 50.5 d. 99.5 Answer: A11. What is the variance? c. 119.40 d. 119.50 a. 119.59 b. 119.49 d. 10.93 Answer: C12. What is the standard deviation? c. 10.92 a. 10.90 b. 10.91 Answer: D 592
For Nos. 13-15. The table below is the frequency distribution of the ages of 50 employees in Ong Ricemill, choose the letter of thebest answer in each given question:Age of 50 Employees in Ong RicemillAge of Employees No. of Employees60-69 1250-59 840-49 1230-39 1320-29 513. What is the average mean of the ages of the employees? a. 46.7 c. 46.3 b. 46.2 d. 46.5 Answer: C14. Which measure(s) of variability is/are best to use in order to find the interval among the ages of the employees in Ong Ricemill? a. Range c. Variance b. Standard Deviation d. Both b and c Answer: B15. What conclusion you can draw from the given data set? Explain further you answer. Answer: Answers vary16. Margie has grades 86, 68 and 79 in her first three tests in Algebra. What grade must she obtain on the fourth test to get an average of 78? a. 76 c. 78 b. 77 d. 79 Answer: D 593
17. What is the median age of a group of employees whose ages are 36, 38, 18, 10 16 and 15 years? a. 10 c. 16 b. 15 d. 17 Answer: D18. Nine people gave contributions in pesos 100, 200, 100, 300, 300, 200, 200, 150, 100, and 100 for a door prize. What is the median contribution? a. Php 100 c. Php 175 b. Php 150 d. Php 200 Answer: C19. If the range of a set of scores is 14 and the lowest score is 7, what is the highest score? a. 21 c. 14 b. 24 d. 7 Answer: B20. What is the standard deviation of the scores 5, 4, 3, 6 and 2? a. 2 b. 2.5 c. 3 d. 3.5 Answer: A 594
TEACHING GUIDEModule 11: INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITYA. Learning OutcomesContent Standard: The learner demonstrates understanding of the basic concepts of Probability.Performance Standard: The learner is able to use precisely counting techniques and probability in solving problems related to different fields ofendeavour.SUBJECT: LEARNING COMPETENCIESGrade 8 Mathematics 1. Define experiment, outcome, sample space, and event. 2. Explain and interpret the probability of an event.QUARTER 3. Differentiate an experimental probability from a theoretical probability.Fourth Quarter 4. Count the number of occurrences of an outcome in an experiment and organizeSTRAND: them using a table, tree diagram, systematic listing, and the fundamental countingStatistics and Probability principle. 5. Solve simple problems involving probabilities.TOPIC:ProbabilityLesson:1. Basic Concepts of Probability2. Probability of an Event: ExperimentalProbability and Theoretical Probability3. Organizing Outcomes of an Event andthe Fundamental Counting Principles4. Problems Involving Probabilities ofEvents 595
ESSENTIAL UNDERSTANDING: ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS: Students will understand that the basic How is the number of occurrences of an concepts of probability through the event determined? number of occurrences of an event can be How does knowledge of finding the determined by the counting techniques. likelihood of an event help you in your daily life? TRANSFER GOAL: Students will, on their own, solve real–life problems using the principles of counting techniques and probability.B. Planning for Assessment Product/Performance These are the products and performances which the students are expected to accomplish in this module. a. A written group report showing the estimated chances of a typhoon hitting the country for each month using the basic concepts of probability b. A written individual report which shows the number of occurrences of any of the following: (1) Number of child birth in a hospital for each month last year, or (2) Number of absentees in a class per month of the previous school year in which the basic concepts of probability are used c. A group work on a variety of transportation packages/options for the family to choose from in which the students’ knowledge on organizing outcomes of an event and the Fundamental Counting Principles are applied d. A group presentation on the chances of losing and winning in carnival games which demonstrates students’ understanding of probability of events and Fundamental Counting Principle Assessment Map KNOWLEDGE PROCESS/SKILLS UNDERSTANDING PERFORMANCE TYPE Pre–Test Pre–Test Pre–Test Pre–Test (1-3, 6-8) (4-5, 10, 12, 14, 17) (9, 11, 13, 15, 18) (16, 19, 20) Pre-Assessment Diagnostic Situational Analysis 596
Formative Quiz Assessment What’s my Probability? Summative Assessment Oral questioningSelf- Assessment Compare and Contrast Quiz (Activity 16) Unit Test Post –test Let’s take an activity together. An Individual Report Let’s help them enjoy their vacation in Bora! GRASPS Let’s convince the community! RubricforCulminating Performance or Product Testing for Reflective Journal Understanding (Problem Solving) 597
Assessment Matrix (Summative Test) Levels of What will I assess? How will I assess? How Will I Score?AssessmentKnowledge 15% Defines experiment, outcomes, sample space, Paper and Pencil 1 point for every and event Test correct response Explains and interprets the probability of an (Summative Test) event Part I (1 – 10)Process/Skills 25% Differentiates between an experimental Post –Assessment 1 point for everyUnderstanding 30% probability and a theoretical probability (1, 2, 4 ) correct response Counts the number of occurrences of an Paper and Pencil 1 point for every outcome in an experiment and organizes them Test correct response using a table, tree diagram systematic listing and the fundamental counting principle Part III (1-5) Post - Assessment Solves simple problems involving probabilities of events (3, 5 – 8) Paper and Pencil Test (Summative Test) Part II (1 -5) Summative Test (9 – 15) Part IV (1 -3) Post – Assessment (9 – 15) 598
Product 30% Transfer Tasks Rubric on Activity 7: Let’s take Performance Task an activity together 1 point for every Activity 10: An correct response Individual Report Activity 17: Let,s help them enjoy their vacation in Bora! Activity 18: Let’s convince the community! Post – Assessment (16 – 17)C. Planning for Teaching-Learning Introduction This module is a carefully designed tool to guide a teacher to a more exciting, interesting and enjoyable days of teachingprobability leading to its richer application in the real world. It encourages students to discover the concepts of probability bythemselves through the different activities which can be answered individually and/or by group. The module has four lessons which are estimated to be covered in twenty (20) hours. However, pacing of the lessonsdepends on the students’ needs and learning competencies.ObjectivesAfter the learners have gone through the lessons contained in this module, they are expected to:1. define experiment, outcome, sample space and event,2. give the difference between experimental probability and theoretical probability, and3. find the probability of an event using the tree diagram, table or the formula. 599
4. explain and interpret the probability of an event. a. find the number of occurrences of an outcome in an experiment using the tree diagram, table, systematic listing and the Fundamental Counting principle b. solve simple problems involving probabilities of events c. perform the tasks collaboratively LEARNING GOALS AND TARGETS: Content Standard: The learner demonstrates understanding of the basic concepts of probability. Performance Standard: The learner is able to use precisely counting techniques and probability in solving simple problems related to different fields of endeavor. Before you start the module, ask the students to answer the Pre–Assessment. Instruct them to read each item carefully, solve if needed, then write the LETTER that corresponds to the correct answer on a separate sheet of paper. This will help assess learner's prior knowledge, skills and understanding of mathematical concepts related to probability.Pre-Assessment:1. Which of the following DOES NOT belong to the group? a. Chance b. Interpretation c. Possibilities d. Uncertainty Answer: B All the words refer to Probability except Interpretation. 600
2. All the possible outcomes that can occur when a coin is tossed twice are listed in the box. What is the probability of having a head? a. 1 10 HH TH 4 1 PISO T T H T b. 2 APOLINARIO MABINI ANDRES BONIFACIO c. 3 4 d. 1 Answer: C Three out of the 4 outcomes have three heads.3. The local weather forecaster said there is a 20% chance of rain tomorrow. What is the probability that it will not rain tomorrow? a. 0.2 b. 0.8 c. 20 d. 80 Answer: B 100% - 20% = 80% or 0.84. A quiz contains three multiple choice-type questions and two true/false-type questions. Suppose you guess the answer randomly on every question. The table below gives the probability of each score. Score 0 1 2 3 4 5Probability 0.105 0.316 0.352 0.180 0.043 0.004 What is the probability of failing the quiz (getting 0, 1, 2, or 3 correct) by guessing? a. 0.047 b. 0.575 c. 0.773 d. 0.953 Answer: D 0.105 + 0.316 + 0.352 + 0.18 = 0.953 or 95.3% 601
5. A spinner with three equal divisions was spun 1000 times. The following information was recorded. What is the probability of the spinner landing on RED? Outcome Blue Red Yellow Spins 448 267 285 a. 27% b. 29% c. 45% d. 73% Answer: A 267 = 0.267 or 27% 10006. Suppose you toss two fair coins once, how many possible outcomes are there? a. 1 b. 2 c. 4 d. 8 Answer: C The 2 tosses of the coin are independent (the result of one does not affect/depend on the other), thus there are 4 possible outcomes.7. A number cube is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a number that is not 3? a. 0 or 0 b. 1 c. 5 d. 6 or 1 6 6 6 6 Answer: C 1 – 1 = 5 6 68. In a 500-ticket draw for an educational prize, Ana’s name was written on 41 tickets. What is the probability that she would win? a. 0.082 b. 0.122 c. 0.41 d. 0.82 41 Answer: A 500 = 0.082 or 8.2% 9. Which of the following is TRUE? a. Answering a true/false-type question has one possible outcome. b. Flipping a coin thrice has 3 possible outcomes. c. The probability of getting a head when a coin is tossed can be expressed as 1 , 0.5 or 50%. 2 1 d. The probability of rolling 7 in a die is 7 . Answer: C The probability of getting a head when a coin is tossed can be expressed as 1 , 0.5 or 50%. 2 602
10. The weather forecaster has announced that Region 1 has rainy (R), partly cloudy (PR) and cloudy (C) weather. If the chance of having R is twice as the probability of PR which is 2 what is the correct table for probability? a. Outco me R PR C c. 7 R PR C Outcome Probability 1 4 2 Probability 4 2 1 777 777 b. Outco me R PR C d. Outcome R PR C Probability 1 2 4 Probability 4 1 2 777 777 Answer: C PR = 2/7 2PR = R R = 2 2 7 2(PR) = 2 2 7 R = 4 ; 4 + 2 + 1 = 7 or 1 7 7 7 7 711. A glass jar contains 40 red, green, blue and yellow marbles. The probability of drawing a single green marble at random is 1 . What does this mean? 5 a. There are 5 green marbles in the glass jar. b. There are 8 green marbles in the glass jar. c. There are more green marbles than the others. d. There is only one green marble in the glass jar. Answer: B12. In a restaurant, you have a dinner choice of one main dish, one vegetable, and one drink. The choices for main dish are pork and chicken meat. The vegetable choices are broccoli and cabbage. The drink choices are juice and water. How many choices are possible? a. 8 b. 10 c. 12 d. 14 Answer: A 603
13. Arlene Joy got coins from her pocket which accidentally rolled on the floor. If there were 8 probable outcomes, how many coins fell on the floor? a. 3 b. 4 c. 8 d. 16 Answer: A A coin has 2 possible outcomes (H, T) 2 x 2 x 2 = 814. In a family of 3 children, what is the probability that the middle child is a boy? a. 1 b. 1 c. 1 d. 1 8 4 3 2 Answer: D Sample Space = BBB, BBG, BGB, BGG, GBB, GBG, GGB, GGG P = 4/8 or 1/215. Jun rolls two dice. The first die shows a 5. The second die rolls under his desk and he cannot see it. NOW, what is the probability that both dice show 5? a. 316 b. 1 c. 9 d. 1 6 36 3 Answer: B Since we already know that one of the dice shows a 5, the probability of getting a 5 in the other die is 1 . 616. Mrs. Castro asked her students to do an activity. Afterwards, her students noticed that the experimental probability of tossing tails is 48%, while the mathematical/theoretical probability is 50%. Being an attentive student, how would you explain this to your classmates? a. The experimental probability is wrong. b. We should always rely on mathematical/theoretical probability. c. It is normal for experimental probabilities to vary from the theoretical probabilities but for a large number of trials, the two will be very close. d. It is abnormal for the experimental probabilities to differ from the mathematical/theoretical probabilities because the results must be the same. Answer: C17. You decided to order a pizza but you have to choose the type of crust and the toppings. If there are only 6 possible combinations of ordering a pizza, from which of the following should you choose from? a. Crust: thin or deep dish Topping: cheese or pepperoni b. Crust: thin or deep dish Topping: cheese, bacon or pepperoni 604
c. Crust: thin or deep dish Topping: cheese, bacon, sausage or pepperoni d. Crust: thin or deep dish Topping: cheese, bacon, sausage, pepperoni or hotdog Answer: B 2(crust) x 3 (toppings) = 6 possible combinations18. There are four teams in a basketball tournament. Team A has 25% chance of winning. Team B has the same chance as Team D which has 5% more than team A. Team C has half the chance of winning as team B. Which of the following has the correct table of probabilities for winning the tournament? a. Team A B CD 30% 15% 30% Probability 25% of winning b. Team A B CD 20% 20% 35% Probability 25% of winning c. Team A B CD 15% 15% 45% Probability 25% of winning d. Team A B CD 15% 10% 50% Probability 25% of winning Answer: A Team A = 25%, Team B = Team D + 25% +5%, Team C = 100 – (25+30+30) = 15 Therefore, 25% + 30% + 15% + 30% = 100%19. You tossed a five-peso coin five times and you got heads each time. You tossed again and still a head turned up. Do you think the coin is BIASED? Why? a. I think the coin is biased because it favored the heads. b. I think the coin is biased because it is expected to turn up tail for the next experiments. 605
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